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fib_1618

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Posts: 4,898
Reply with quote  #1 

2014-06-05 15:59:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good day
2014-06-05 16:00:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: how is everyone?
2014-06-05 16:00:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hmmm...
2014-06-05 16:00:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the market must had gone up today...there's nobody here! [smile]
2014-06-05 16:01:45 [Message] PrincelyM -> Chat: Hey Dave
2014-06-05 16:01:47 [Message] PrincelyM -> Chat: Good
2014-06-05 16:01:50 [Message] PrincelyM -> Chat: And you?
2014-06-05 16:03:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: doing fine my friend
2014-06-05 16:03:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Crash Crash Crash Crash Crash!!!!! lol
2014-06-05 16:04:13 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: The market didn't go down today, THEY must be saving that for tomorrow LOL
2014-06-05 16:04:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's the JQ power dynamic!
2014-06-05 16:05:04 [Message] PrincelyM -> Chat: lol
2014-06-05 16:05:16 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: [smile]
2014-06-05 16:10:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...
2014-06-05 16:10:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: any questions or comments before we get started??
2014-06-05 16:10:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: by the way
2014-06-05 16:10:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I'm using the DP charts at SC more and more now
2014-06-05 16:11:08 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: nice breadth today
2014-06-05 16:11:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and they're going to give us all a more enriching angle for analysis
2014-06-05 16:11:21 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: cool
2014-06-05 16:11:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we can draw trendlines
2014-06-05 16:11:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we can add a stochastic to the MCO chart
2014-06-05 16:11:54 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: nice
2014-06-05 16:12:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: all the things we have in SC are available with these charts now
2014-06-05 16:12:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: one of the more important things being
2014-06-05 16:12:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we can now expand or contract the time axis in these analytical tools
2014-06-05 16:13:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: not just 1 and 3 year periods as we have become accustomed to
2014-06-05 16:13:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but as far back as the data goes
2014-06-05 16:13:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...without further adieu
2014-06-05 16:13:39 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: I came into today with 2 dead AMZN calls - could have knocked me over with a feather. Went from $68 to $1500. I had $270 in them, ran away at 1070 LOL
2014-06-05 16:13:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let's get the charts up and get to work
2014-06-05 16:13:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lol
2014-06-05 16:14:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh my!
2014-06-05 16:14:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: congratulations!
2014-06-05 16:14:12 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: honestly, I didn't expect that move
2014-06-05 16:14:17 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: thx
2014-06-05 16:14:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: what did AMZN do...let me check
2014-06-05 16:14:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: up 5.5%!
2014-06-05 16:14:42 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: it DID hit my target though, think I learned something
2014-06-05 16:14:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lol
2014-06-05 16:15:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with a buy signal across the board there
2014-06-05 16:15:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: wow
2014-06-05 16:15:17 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: it looks strong
2014-06-05 16:15:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I need to look into this one!
2014-06-05 16:15:30 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yes!
2014-06-05 16:16:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: a close above the 200 day would also break above the declining tops line
2014-06-05 16:16:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the RSI, PPO, ADX and CVI all gave buys today
2014-06-05 16:16:24 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: saw that, not that far away
2014-06-05 16:16:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with expanding volume
2014-06-05 16:16:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...let's get going
2014-06-05 16:17:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: after snapping back towards the zero line on Tuesday
2014-06-05 16:17:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the CO NYSE breadth MCO powered higher today
2014-06-05 16:17:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and took out last week's high point
2014-06-05 16:17:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with this move
2014-06-05 16:18:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NYSE CO breadth MCSUM showed a nice expansion gap higher as well
2014-06-05 16:18:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: though it remains just below the important +500 level with a reading today of +487
2014-06-05 16:18:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: given that this MCO has moved to now highs
2014-06-05 16:19:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we should see this MCSUM move above the +500 level as soon as tomorrow
2014-06-05 16:19:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with that
2014-06-05 16:19:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this will reinforce the current uptrend in the NYA index
2014-06-05 16:19:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which closed at all time highs today
2014-06-05 16:20:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking at the NYSE Composite breadth MCO
2014-06-05 16:20:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and here we didn't quite see the same strength we saw in the CO
2014-06-05 16:20:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which tells us that the interest sensitive issues we're being sold today
2014-06-05 16:21:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we did, however, show a new high in the current advancing sequence in the NYSE Composite breadth MCSUM
2014-06-05 16:21:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with today's reading of +890
2014-06-05 16:21:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or about 110 data points away from reaching our next target of +1000
2014-06-05 16:22:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking at the components
2014-06-05 16:22:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we see that we're also back on a crossover buy signal now
2014-06-05 16:22:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we'll see what effect tomorrow's jobs numbers will have on this basket of stocks
2014-06-05 16:23:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where it would be preferred to see money flow moving with more amplitude to support the current trend in prices
2014-06-05 16:23:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so tell me something...
2014-06-05 16:24:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if a central bank is offering negative rates of return
2014-06-05 16:24:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: does that mean the buyer pays them to hold their money for them?
2014-06-05 16:24:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: interesting concept here
2014-06-05 16:24:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: maybe it's the "newer math"
2014-06-05 16:24:58 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: it means exactly that
2014-06-05 16:25:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I guess
2014-06-05 16:25:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so what's the advantage of negative rates for investment?
2014-06-05 16:25:24 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: not far off at your local bank
2014-06-05 16:25:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: does that mean that you don't borrow from the central bank
2014-06-05 16:25:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but you put your money in....oh, let's say, stocks?
2014-06-05 16:25:57 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: "could be"
2014-06-05 16:26:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: yes...could be
2014-06-05 16:26:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and what, I wonder, would all that money do if it continues to rush out of government obligations and into stocks?
2014-06-05 16:26:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hypothetically, of course
2014-06-05 16:26:54 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: I'm telling you, I feel a melt up coming-and I've seen a few
2014-06-05 16:26:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lol
2014-06-05 16:27:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's amazing, isn't it?
2014-06-05 16:27:16 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yep
2014-06-05 16:27:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's the only way, in all reality, to have a Primary or Cycle 3 up at this stage
2014-06-05 16:27:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: what's Don's objective for the Dow?
2014-06-05 16:27:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: 100,000?
2014-06-05 16:28:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the divisor so itsy bitsy
2014-06-05 16:28:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: how about this?
2014-06-05 16:28:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: how come the SPX is suddenly so strong here?
2014-06-05 16:28:48 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: sometimes, I think I want a pullback more than the bears do-difference is, I don't expect it
2014-06-05 16:29:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: maybe it's because if you're a foreigner, and you want to invest in the US, your first choice is the SPX?
2014-06-05 16:30:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: could all the months in which the large caps have been able to stay well above the MCSUM zero line be because of money not being able to find a more attractive area for investment than the United States?
2014-06-05 16:30:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and it keeps moving in
2014-06-05 16:30:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and moving in
2014-06-05 16:30:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and moving in
2014-06-05 16:30:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and you can't have corrections
2014-06-05 16:31:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: unless it's in areas that are not deemed "worthy"
2014-06-05 16:31:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the secondaries and the small caps, for example
2014-06-05 16:31:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this is all very interesting
2014-06-05 16:31:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...sorry for the tangent...let's continue
2014-06-05 16:32:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NASDAQ breadth MCO also continued to climb higher today after snapping back toward its zero line on Tuesday
2014-06-05 16:32:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and notice now the large expansion gap we see to the upside today in the NASDAQ breadth MCSUM
2014-06-05 16:32:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: though we're still below the mid April highs
2014-06-05 16:33:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this should be enough to see this MCSUM move through this level though as soon as Friday
2014-06-05 16:33:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and then continue to our expectation of a snapback all the way back up to the zero line
2014-06-05 16:33:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: also remember
2014-06-05 16:34:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that this April highs on the NASDAQ breadth MCSUM also need to be broken for prices to move to new highs
2014-06-05 16:34:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we'll see how that goes
2014-06-05 16:35:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX is now at its highest point since the double top highs of mid 2000
2014-06-05 16:35:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so that's 14 years
2014-06-05 16:35:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: however
2014-06-05 16:36:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX breadth MCO has a bit of work to do near term to confirm these new pattern highs
2014-06-05 16:36:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: at least minimally take out the highs of last week
2014-06-05 16:36:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX breadth MCSUM continues to climb though
2014-06-05 16:36:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: finishing the day today with a reading of +838
2014-06-05 16:37:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so it has a bit to go before it gets to the +1000 objective
2014-06-05 16:37:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: wow...
2014-06-05 16:37:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: higher highs in the SPX breadth MCO today
2014-06-05 16:37:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: to confirm the new all time highs in the index
2014-06-05 16:38:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: closing at just above 1940
2014-06-05 16:38:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with this kind of strength
2014-06-05 16:38:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we could see 2000 sooner than later....maybe next week?
2014-06-05 16:38:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: price pattern itself looks strong
2014-06-05 16:38:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the internals supporting the price structure
2014-06-05 16:39:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me take a quick peak a the SPX volume MCO
2014-06-05 16:39:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh wow
2014-06-05 16:39:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: new highs there too!
2014-06-05 16:39:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and it broke above its horizontal resistance that we talked about on Tuesday
2014-06-05 16:39:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and so did the SPX volume MCSUM
2014-06-05 16:40:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: long and strong the SPX now
2014-06-05 16:40:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: any shorting would be suicide...at least currently
2014-06-05 16:41:10 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: BET!
2014-06-05 16:41:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as this index *could* begin to "streak" higher
2014-06-05 16:41:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or, like Lew likes to say...melt up
2014-06-05 16:41:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: [smile]
2014-06-05 16:41:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: everything is suggesting we're in a 3rd wave now
2014-06-05 16:41:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the best in breadth
2014-06-05 16:41:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the best in volume
2014-06-05 16:41:55 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yes, melt up 3
2014-06-05 16:41:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and new all time highs
2014-06-05 16:42:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: doesn't really matter what happens tomorrow now
2014-06-05 16:42:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: maybe the bigger news...the kick off here...is the negative rates of return offered by the ECB?
2014-06-05 16:43:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: time will tell...
2014-06-05 16:43:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but for now
2014-06-05 16:43:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the technicals are screaming "buy" in the SPX
2014-06-05 16:43:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: going to the OEX breadth MCO
2014-06-05 16:43:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and here we didn't see a higher high
2014-06-05 16:44:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but we do see that there's enough money flow trending into this basket of stocks on a short term basis that the intermediate term flow of money continues to be very strong as shown by the OEX breadth MCSUM
2014-06-05 16:44:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as it continues its trek toward the +1250 level
2014-06-05 16:45:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this is again another one of those times where any calls for a crash are literally "impossible...can't be done"
2014-06-05 16:46:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as there's just too much money moving in now that would cushion any kind of ambush by the bears
2014-06-05 16:46:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: maybe a nuclear bomb might do it
2014-06-05 16:46:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but I don't think that's going to happen tomorrow
2014-06-05 16:46:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: then again
2014-06-05 16:46:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: anything could happen, I suppose
2014-06-05 16:47:04 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: well we know tsunamis don't work LOL
2014-06-05 16:47:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but it would take something so overwhelming here to stop this trend
2014-06-05 16:47:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: yes, you got that right
2014-06-05 16:47:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or whole countries collapsing
2014-06-05 16:47:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: did you notice that the DAX hit 10,000 this morning?
2014-06-05 16:48:03 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yep
2014-06-05 16:48:21 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: I always check it before we open
2014-06-05 16:48:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: got as high as 10,0013
2014-06-05 16:48:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I think it was around 9 eastern
2014-06-05 16:48:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: not surprising given the great strength in the internals there for the several months
2014-06-05 16:49:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: has anyone heard on the news that the Dow closed at all time highs today?
2014-06-05 16:49:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you know...it used to be that we would hear the trumpets blaring when this happened in the past
2014-06-05 16:49:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: not so much anymore
2014-06-05 16:49:58 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: you know, top calling is suicide here
2014-06-05 16:50:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: kind of boring
2014-06-05 16:50:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: top calling, with the flow of money leading to the upside, has ALWAYS been suicide
2014-06-05 16:50:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: doesn't matter what time frame you're talking about
2014-06-05 16:51:12 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: nope
2014-06-05 16:51:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: just because you hit a number, or a fundamental figure is known, it really means nothing
2014-06-05 16:51:40 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: especially with nothing above
2014-06-05 16:51:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's all a distraction
2014-06-05 16:52:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: bad news only means something IF the flow of money is moving out the market
2014-06-05 16:52:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for example
2014-06-05 16:52:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: money has been moving into the market over the last two months
2014-06-05 16:52:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we've had bad news...but still the market goes higher?
2014-06-05 16:52:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: remember how bearish sentiment was in April?
2014-06-05 16:53:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: surprisingly
2014-06-05 16:53:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: its been just as bearish the higher we go
2014-06-05 16:53:33 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: the old PPT is now the "operators" and HFT  But it has really only ever been how good is your TA
2014-06-05 16:53:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this is why the center point of 3rd waves are known as the "point of recognition"
2014-06-05 16:53:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: rising wedges without volume confirmation
2014-06-05 16:54:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: phantom cycles that have no consistency
2014-06-05 16:54:13 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: Blue's wedge got blown up
2014-06-05 16:54:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: miscounted Elliott labels to fit a bias
2014-06-05 16:54:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and still
2014-06-05 16:54:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: people follow these folks
2014-06-05 16:54:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: because...
2014-06-05 16:54:42 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yep
2014-06-05 16:54:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: no one wants to do their own work
2014-06-05 16:54:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: no one wants to learn
2014-06-05 16:55:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: present company, excepted
2014-06-05 16:55:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: [smile]
2014-06-05 16:55:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we all know the bad news out there
2014-06-05 16:55:25 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: thx
2014-06-05 16:55:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we all know what everyone one else knows
2014-06-05 16:56:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but what we try to do in here is just follow bigger money for it makes good sense that it knows much more than we could ever know
2014-06-05 16:56:11 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: fundamentals mean nothing to me-the market is trading the news from six months ahead, imho
2014-06-05 16:56:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: because...it's big money
2014-06-05 16:56:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and money is certainly not going to invest in something it can't make more money on
2014-06-05 16:56:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: why put your money in gold if stocks give a better return?
2014-06-05 16:56:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or commodities?
2014-06-05 16:57:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or even debt instruments issued by governments?
2014-06-05 16:57:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: back to work...
2014-06-05 16:57:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we see that the Dow breadth MCO also made a new high today confirming the new price highs in the index
2014-06-05 16:58:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this pushed the Dow breadth MCSUM to gap through the +750 level today
2014-06-05 16:58:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so any follow through tomorrow
2014-06-05 16:58:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we would likely to see the next probably area of resistance around the +1000 level
2014-06-05 16:58:49 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: funny how when they get near those 250's-they blow through them strong
2014-06-05 16:58:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and from here
2014-06-05 16:58:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's going to take about a week to attain
2014-06-05 16:59:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as we expected on Tuesday
2014-06-05 16:59:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the MID closed at new all time price highs today
2014-06-05 16:59:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: while the MID breadth MCO cleared above its highs of late May
2014-06-05 17:00:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: showing that it takes "all for one" to reach a desired objective
2014-06-05 17:00:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good post expansion, as well, in the MID breadth MCSUM
2014-06-05 17:00:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we're back to a buy signal there
2014-06-05 17:01:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: look for money to start to rotate into the MID as it plays catch up to the broader NYA
2014-06-05 17:01:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good zero line bounce in the SML breadth MCO
2014-06-05 17:02:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with a nice series of 5 bottoms above bottoms in the MCO
2014-06-05 17:02:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking at the SML breadth MCSUM
2014-06-05 17:02:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as we are now knocking on the zero line door
2014-06-05 17:02:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where any kind of strength on Friday will turn control back to the bulls as we move back above this same line of balance between buyers and sellers
2014-06-05 17:02:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and usually when this happens
2014-06-05 17:03:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we get some sort of statement day in prices to let everyone know who's in charge
2014-06-05 17:03:20 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: [smile]
2014-06-05 17:03:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as with all of the MCSUM's
2014-06-05 17:03:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we'll still need to see the SML breadth MCSUM clear its mid April highs before we'll see new all time price highs in the index
2014-06-05 17:04:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if the zero line falls on Friday
2014-06-05 17:04:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this break above resistance could happen as soon as Monday
2014-06-05 17:04:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with it
2014-06-05 17:04:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: dashing hopes, yet again, of the many bearish Russell 2000 forecasts
2014-06-05 17:06:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this latest correction in small caps shows why we have an advantage in knowing whether a pullback is just that or something more of a change in trend
2014-06-05 17:06:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: from the divergent lows in the MCO
2014-06-05 17:06:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: to the multiple bottoms above bottoms
2014-06-05 17:06:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this last 2 months was nothing more than a "pause to refresh"
2014-06-05 17:07:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and once the sellers got all uppity that it was the top of all tops
2014-06-05 17:07:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this sentiment helped provide that added cushion to keep prices from meeting the downside MCO targets
2014-06-05 17:07:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: here's the bottom line on tops
2014-06-05 17:08:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: they only come when...the greater bear majority throws in the towel and believes that prices can keep going higher
2014-06-05 17:08:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: AND
2014-06-05 17:08:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: money is moving out of the market
2014-06-05 17:09:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the second statement being more important than the first
2014-06-05 17:09:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I'm sure you've read it from some of the staunchest bears in the last couple of weeks
2014-06-05 17:09:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that now that "everyone believes that we're going to go up forever"
2014-06-05 17:09:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and because of this
2014-06-05 17:09:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: they are "cautious"
2014-06-05 17:10:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: a tangent of this is the use of margin data of which we discussed previously
2014-06-05 17:10:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: what's missing though
2014-06-05 17:11:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is just like when people show a chart pattern without the appropriate volume to go along with it to CONFIRM it's expectation
2014-06-05 17:11:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: here...without the flow of money moving in advance of prices
2014-06-05 17:11:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it doesn't show everyone how smart you are
2014-06-05 17:11:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you're going to actually "out smart" yourself and lose out on easy price pattern gains
2014-06-05 17:11:57 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: if the market would drop for a day or 2, they'd be "so far from shore" it wouldn't matter
2014-06-05 17:12:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if it dropped for a day or 2, they would be climbing over each other claiming that a top has been made!
2014-06-05 17:12:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: here's the bizarre psychology of it all
2014-06-05 17:13:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if you continue to call that the market is going to top day after day, week after week
2014-06-05 17:13:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: then EVENTUALLY you will be right
2014-06-05 17:13:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and your ego goes sky high when you remind everyone that you "told them so"!
2014-06-05 17:13:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's why
2014-06-05 17:13:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: when you read people saying such things
2014-06-05 17:14:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the only thing that is going to make them back down is when the market goes against them
2014-06-05 17:14:22 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: glad you taught me to swing for base hits...
2014-06-05 17:14:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it wouldn't matter one iota if you try to help them
2014-06-05 17:14:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's it
2014-06-05 17:14:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you must only make contact in this business to be successful
2014-06-05 17:14:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and keep your strike out ratio low
2014-06-05 17:15:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: sometimes you get a home run...a double
2014-06-05 17:15:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but look at it this way
2014-06-05 17:15:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if you hit a baseball only 30% of the time
2014-06-05 17:15:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: they put you in the Hall of Fame!
2014-06-05 17:15:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's 30%!
2014-06-05 17:15:52 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: every now and then, you send one out by accident, like I did today-if the base of your TA is correct
2014-06-05 17:15:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so why is it that we, as humans, must have every trade a winning one?
2014-06-05 17:16:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: yep
2014-06-05 17:16:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we put too much pressure on ourselves to be right all the time
2014-06-05 17:16:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if you follow money
2014-06-05 17:16:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you have a 60% chance of having a successful trade
2014-06-05 17:17:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and if you pick the strongest sector in this same direction money is flowing
2014-06-05 17:17:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you can add another 30% to that total
2014-06-05 17:17:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: pick the leading stock in the sector...you really do have a 100% chance of making money
2014-06-05 17:18:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where folks lose their advantage though is in not using discipline which includes the use of stops
2014-06-05 17:18:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: after all ...this is still a casino, isn't it?
2014-06-05 17:18:21 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: I use that method faithfully
2014-06-05 17:18:41 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: and, it's a ton of work
2014-06-05 17:18:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we just want to play as much with the house's money as possible [smile]
2014-06-05 17:18:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: yes...it is
2014-06-05 17:18:54 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: oh yea!
2014-06-05 17:19:04 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: and worth it
2014-06-05 17:19:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but it gets easier once you develop the patience necessary to go along with the discipline
2014-06-05 17:19:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: back to the charts
2014-06-05 17:19:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and was our expectation on Tuesday
2014-06-05 17:19:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the TM breadth MCO also bounced off its zero line
2014-06-05 17:20:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but it remains below the highs of last week
2014-06-05 17:20:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: any further strength from here though would help push our expected timing for a possible trend exhaustion out to sometime in August
2014-06-05 17:21:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for now...let's keep with the July 4th time frame
2014-06-05 17:21:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: notice though how the TM breadth MCSUM has now cleared its April highs now
2014-06-05 17:21:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we got a good post expansion to go along with it
2014-06-05 17:22:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: next expectation there would be a challenge of the +500 level where we have both natural resistance and pattern resistance from early April period
2014-06-05 17:22:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: sooo...
2014-06-05 17:22:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: a good statement day by the bulls
2014-06-05 17:22:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where they needed to dig in on Wednesday
2014-06-05 17:22:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and showed great follow through today to the surprise of almost everyone
2014-06-05 17:22:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: especially with the sloppy open we had today
2014-06-05 17:23:23 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: check the xlf - OH MY
2014-06-05 17:23:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and that was probably what provided the support before the buyers took over after an hour in
2014-06-05 17:23:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let's look at the sectors
2014-06-05 17:23:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: higher highs now in the XLY breadth MCO
2014-06-05 17:24:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this has now propelled the XLY breadth MCSUM above the +750 level
2014-06-05 17:24:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the buy signal continues there
2014-06-05 17:24:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as we should see new all time highs within a couple of days
2014-06-05 17:24:58 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: (AMZN in there)
2014-06-05 17:25:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: there you go
2014-06-05 17:25:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: curious
2014-06-05 17:25:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me see what other issues are in there
2014-06-05 17:25:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: one sec
2014-06-05 17:25:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: wow
2014-06-05 17:25:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh man
2014-06-05 17:26:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: top 10 holdings - Comcast, Disney, Amazon, McDonald's, Home Depot, Priceline to name a few
2014-06-05 17:27:03 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: TWC pretty nice, DISCA
2014-06-05 17:27:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that too
2014-06-05 17:27:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: 45% of the basket is the top 10
2014-06-05 17:27:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good zero line support in the XLP breadth MCO
2014-06-05 17:27:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as the XLP continues to make new all time price highs
2014-06-05 17:28:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: top 10 there are Walmart, P&G, Coke, Pepsi, Phillip Morris among others
2014-06-05 17:29:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: 63% of the basket in the top 10
2014-06-05 17:29:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now..with that said
2014-06-05 17:29:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: unless we see a better push by the buyers near term
2014-06-05 17:30:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the XLP will move back below the MCO zero line in the next day or so
2014-06-05 17:30:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but with the XLP breadth MCSUM at +810
2014-06-05 17:30:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that would only be a hold signal as higher price highs would still be likely
2014-06-05 17:30:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: renewed buy signal today on the XLE breadth MCO
2014-06-05 17:31:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as it moved back above its zero line
2014-06-05 17:31:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and above the small horizontal spike of early May
2014-06-05 17:31:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: target there remains at $100
2014-06-05 17:31:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the bears are going to get blown out on that one
2014-06-05 17:32:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with many expecting less demand because of slower economic activity
2014-06-05 17:32:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: screaming buy signal now on the XLF!
2014-06-05 17:32:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as it closed today at new one year highs
2014-06-05 17:33:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: checking
2014-06-05 17:33:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and it also cleared the whipsaw highs of October 2008 before the market fell apart
2014-06-05 17:33:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's great news for this sector
2014-06-05 17:34:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looks like future areas of resistance lies with even numbers - 24, 26, 28
2014-06-05 17:34:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me check volume for confirmation
2014-06-05 17:35:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh wow
2014-06-05 17:35:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: leading to the upside as well
2014-06-05 17:35:20 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: YEP
2014-06-05 17:35:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and no one wants to be associated with the banks
2014-06-05 17:35:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: screaming buy there
2014-06-05 17:36:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: new all time closing highs in the XLV
2014-06-05 17:36:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and look at the way that the XLV breadth MCO has moved literally sideways for 2 weeks now
2014-06-05 17:36:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: showing that buying is just overwhelming even simple profit taking
2014-06-05 17:37:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so with the XLV breadth MCSUM passing through the +1000 level today
2014-06-05 17:37:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: any follow through on Friday or Monday would allow a move to the next level of possible resistance at the +1250 level
2014-06-05 17:37:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so steady as she goes there
2014-06-05 17:38:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lots of bio tech companies in the top 10 there with 55% weighting
2014-06-05 17:39:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me check to see how the bio techs, the group that was screaming bull market top a 45 days ago, are doing
2014-06-05 17:39:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: check XBI with a 20, 50 and 200 day EMA
2014-06-05 17:39:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and notice the bottoming formation
2014-06-05 17:39:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and follow through breakout to the upside today
2014-06-05 17:40:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the XLI breadth MCO is now back above the +50 level
2014-06-05 17:41:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: though it would be better to see a bit more strength near term
2014-06-05 17:41:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for if we're able to take out the late May highs
2014-06-05 17:41:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this sector could really make a big move
2014-06-05 17:41:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with it the Dow Industrials and Transports
2014-06-05 17:42:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the XLB breadth MCSUM is now up against heavy horizontal resistance at the +800 level
2014-06-05 17:42:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the XLB breadth MCSUM, however, continues to maintain a constructive structure
2014-06-05 17:43:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we'll probably know better on that one in the next couple of days
2014-06-05 17:44:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: DuPont, Dow Chemical, FCX are part of the top 10 there making up a 67% weighting
2014-06-05 17:44:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: new recovery highs in the XLK today
2014-06-05 17:45:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and it's now at its highest levels since the end of 2000
2014-06-05 17:45:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: still 20 points away from its all time highs though
2014-06-05 17:45:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if the XLK breadth MCO could make a higher high here than the late May period
2014-06-05 17:46:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: then that all time high target could be possible on this run
2014-06-05 17:46:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the XLU is now back to within .50 of its all time highs
2014-06-05 17:47:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this again provides another excellent example
2014-06-05 17:47:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that when the MCSUM peaks out
2014-06-05 17:47:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it doesn't at all mean that prices have
2014-06-05 17:47:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with higher highs today in the XLU breadth MCO
2014-06-05 17:47:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: our clearing back above the +1000 level in the XLU breadth MCSUM suggests that we're not going to stop there
2014-06-05 17:48:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so look for new all time highs in the XLU sooner than later
2014-06-05 17:48:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: soooo...
2014-06-05 17:49:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: things continue to support higher prices as all of the indices and sectors that we follow here continue to show bullish characteristics in their structures
2014-06-05 17:49:06 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and at this point
2014-06-05 17:49:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: even if the MCO's move back below their zero lines
2014-06-05 17:49:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the MCSUM's top out because of this
2014-06-05 17:49:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's still a very good bet that we will see higher price highs before any call for a more important correctional sequence would be on our doorstep
2014-06-05 17:49:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so long and strong for now
2014-06-05 17:50:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me check the BETS
2014-06-05 17:50:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NAAD line broke above its declining tops line today
2014-06-05 17:51:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: new all time highs on the NYAD line
2014-06-05 17:51:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as well as the NYUD line
2014-06-05 17:51:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so volume IS confirming the new highs
2014-06-05 17:51:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: period
2014-06-05 17:51:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: case closed
2014-06-05 17:52:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: +60
2014-06-05 17:52:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we need a +65 for a renewed buy signal
2014-06-05 17:52:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we'll see how that looks over the weekend
2014-06-05 17:52:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: moving to the volume oscillators
2014-06-05 17:53:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: starting to see some climactic readings in the CVI now
2014-06-05 17:53:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so any follow through on Friday
2014-06-05 17:53:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and it wouldn't be surprising if we see some sort of near term price top early next week
2014-06-05 17:54:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: STVO's are frothy...but not at a point of exhaustion
2014-06-05 17:54:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: same with the VTO's
2014-06-05 17:55:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: NYSE TRIN at 1.02
2014-06-05 17:55:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Open 10 at .94
2014-06-05 17:55:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: getting close to neutral now
2014-06-05 17:55:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but with the current strength overall
2014-06-05 17:55:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I wouldn't be too concerned there until we get "overbought" readings below .80
2014-06-05 17:56:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: especially since the 55 day SMA of the TRIN remains at "oversold" levels
2014-06-05 17:56:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: NASDAQ TRIN at 1.54
2014-06-05 17:57:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this pushed the Open 10 back below the "overbought" line at .80 with a .82 reading
2014-06-05 17:57:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: TM TRIN at 1.30
2014-06-05 17:58:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Open 10 at .86
2014-06-05 17:58:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: sooo...
2014-06-05 17:58:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we now have indications that we are in the beginning stages of a strong advancing price sequence in many of the indices and sectors we review here
2014-06-05 17:59:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with a little more love in the next couple of days
2014-06-05 17:59:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this would certainly be enough to push this trend out another month or so
2014-06-05 17:59:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for now
2014-06-05 17:59:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the bulls continue to hold good control of the action
2014-06-05 17:59:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this should continue past this months OPEX and probably into the early part of July
2014-06-05 17:59:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: anything else?
2014-06-05 18:00:13 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: Snort...
2014-06-05 18:00:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now now
2014-06-05 18:00:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: remember your discipline
2014-06-05 18:00:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: [smile]
2014-06-05 18:01:08 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: will do!
2014-06-05 18:01:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it should be a good day tomorrow
2014-06-05 18:01:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me check the consensus
2014-06-05 18:01:23 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: CRASH CRASH CRASH LOL
2014-06-05 18:01:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lol
2014-06-05 18:02:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: 213,00 is the average
2014-06-05 18:02:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: range is between 110 to 240
2014-06-05 18:02:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's quite a range
2014-06-05 18:02:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hey
2014-06-05 18:03:06 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if the boys on the floor are actually reading market posts on message boards, and are pushing the market the opposite way because of key words, who am I to argue?
2014-06-05 18:03:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the whole thought process is ridiculous
2014-06-05 18:03:30 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: sure is
2014-06-05 18:03:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...if there's nothing else
2014-06-05 18:03:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I'm going to take off
2014-06-05 18:03:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: everyone have a super duper weekend
2014-06-05 18:04:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we'll do this all again next Tuesday
2014-06-05 18:04:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good night
2014-06-05 18:04:05 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: thx


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