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fib_1618

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Reply with quote  #1 
2011-10-13 16:00:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good day
2011-10-13 16:00:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: how is everyone?
2011-10-13 16:01:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hey Darris... 7-2 in the 7th
2011-10-13 16:01:03 [Message] EricD -> Chat: Hi Dave
2011-10-13 16:01:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hi Eric...how are you?
2011-10-13 16:01:37 [Message] EricD -> Chat: Good. Hope you are also
2011-10-13 16:01:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I'm fine...thanks for asking
2011-10-13 16:01:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: did everyone see my post that I made yesterday?
2011-10-13 16:02:01 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: no
2011-10-13 16:02:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: tsk tsk
2011-10-13 16:02:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat:
2011-10-13 16:02:24 [Message] EricD -> Chat:  I caught it
2011-10-13 16:02:27 [Message] gman -> Chat: yea
2011-10-13 16:02:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post/Intraweek-Update-5532578
2011-10-13 16:03:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...any questions or comments before we get started??
2011-10-13 16:04:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now...for a little more clarity
2011-10-13 16:04:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I made mention of "exiting" positions and not so much "closing" them
2011-10-13 16:05:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this wording was specific to the idea that being as "overbought" as we became yesterday
2011-10-13 16:05:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the odds suggested some sort of pull back
2011-10-13 16:05:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so one would exit on their grounds...
2011-10-13 16:06:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me take a quick look the cums...brb
2011-10-13 16:07:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: BETS closed today at -25
2011-10-13 16:07:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: closed yesterday at a -20
2011-10-13 16:07:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so definitely "not just right" for a flip
2011-10-13 16:08:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but enough of a reversal to go neutral on a IT and LT basis
2011-10-13 16:08:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: short and near term is a bit of a different play and story
2011-10-13 16:10:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...let me get DP up and we'll get started
2011-10-13 16:10:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Oh...and the NASDAQ breadth MCSUM moved above its gap resistance zone today
2011-10-13 16:11:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: after testing its late August highs on Wednesday
2011-10-13 16:11:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the CO NYSE breadth MCO moved slightly lower today
2011-10-13 16:11:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but remains fully "overbought" at this time with a +70 reading
2011-10-13 16:12:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat:  this kind of number is showing larger distances of the individual postings on the CO NYSE breadth MCSUM
2011-10-13 16:12:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the wider the postings, the larger the amount of money moving either into our out of the market
2011-10-13 16:13:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: notice also that this recent advance in the MCSUM started with a solid basing structure at the "oversold" -750 level
2011-10-13 16:13:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so this advance has good foundational support to at least move to its zero line
2011-10-13 16:13:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and more than likely to the +250 area during this sequence
2011-10-13 16:14:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where we saw our last resistance point before the collapse in August
2011-10-13 16:15:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the +250 level becomes rather pivotal as to what we should expect to see from the market for the rest of the year
2011-10-13 16:15:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and partially into the January period
2011-10-13 16:15:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: again
2011-10-13 16:16:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the MCSUM gives us an approximate time line on how long prices will trend in either direction based both on its structure and the amount of fuel generated by flow of money
2011-10-13 16:16:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: another thing I want to also bring up again
2011-10-13 16:16:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is the idea that once an extreme is made in the MCSUM
2011-10-13 16:16:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we should usually expect some sort of divergent structure before the actual turn in a (price) trend occurs
2011-10-13 16:17:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: recent example here, of course, comes with the August MCSUM lows
2011-10-13 16:17:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and into the September period
2011-10-13 16:17:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: when the divergent lower price lows were created by the 10/3 shake out
2011-10-13 16:18:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so always remember that a turn in the MCSUM doesn't always mean that the price trend is complete
2011-10-13 16:18:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for it's the momentum low that follows the energy created by the movement of money is the determining factor on when the tide has a chance to actually turn
2011-10-13 16:18:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now...short term
2011-10-13 16:19:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the bulls are only beginning their effort in the creation of this same advance trend
2011-10-13 16:19:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the -250 level our first area of expectation of a pause
2011-10-13 16:19:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the zero line the next area
2011-10-13 16:19:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this time around
2011-10-13 16:20:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this same zero line test is also the same area where the declining tops line connecting the February and July tops on this MCSUM
2011-10-13 16:20:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we should expect some choppy behavior as we approach this double resistance zone
2011-10-13 16:21:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: at the current rate
2011-10-13 16:21:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this challenge is likely to occur sometime around OPEX
2011-10-13 16:21:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which is a week from tomorrow
2011-10-13 16:22:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the amount of resistance at around the zero line ahead of us
2011-10-13 16:23:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I don't believe that the -250 level is going to cause anything more than a 2 day hesitation if anything
2011-10-13 16:23:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking at the components
2011-10-13 16:23:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and our technical expectation here near term is for a snapback for the 5% index to or toward its zero line
2011-10-13 16:24:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this should coincide with our approach to the -250 level
2011-10-13 16:24:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but again, the expectation here (because of the recent strength) is for 1 or 2 days of pause at the most
2011-10-13 16:25:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: moving to the composite NYSE data
2011-10-13 16:25:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and here we have the NYSE breadth MCSUM moving above its mid September highs helping to confirm that a tradable low is now behind us
2011-10-13 16:26:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the expectation here is for the zero line to act as temporary resistance point near term
2011-10-13 16:26:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the more important declining tops line here coming in just below the key +500 level
2011-10-13 16:26:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we have a lot of room to maneuver here
2011-10-13 16:27:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we note that we also moved above the important mid September high point in the NYSE breadth MCO
2011-10-13 16:27:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and today was our obligatory snapback day to this same prior resistance point
2011-10-13 16:28:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking at the NYA price pattern
2011-10-13 16:28:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and what we may be looking at next week
2011-10-13 16:28:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: in co-ordination with the anticipated CO NYSE MCSUM zero line battle
2011-10-13 16:29:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is for a simple snapback in prices to or toward the breakout line that we violated on Monday
2011-10-13 16:29:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: after that
2011-10-13 16:29:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: (and OPEX)
2011-10-13 16:29:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we should then be in the clear for a nice advance to the upside
2011-10-13 16:30:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: once the reaction highs of the past two months of consolidation are taken out
2011-10-13 16:30:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: moving to the NASDAQ breadth MCO
2011-10-13 16:30:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and here we took out both the August and September MCO highs yesterday
2011-10-13 16:31:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this now suggests new upside price objectives for this index of the highs of July before the downturn
2011-10-13 16:31:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or about a 200 point NASDAQ rally
2011-10-13 16:31:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we will need, however, more energy to make this move higher more than just a challenge of these same highs
2011-10-13 16:32:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we'll see how things look there at the end of the month when our anticipated choppy period is behind us
2011-10-13 16:32:29 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: why does that 5 percent index look so lackluster?
2011-10-13 16:32:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: because the spread between the two EMA's was very wide
2011-10-13 16:33:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which means that the downtrend in the NAAD line was accelerated prior to the reversal
2011-10-13 16:33:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so for the bulls to break above the yearly highs here
2011-10-13 16:33:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we will need to see the NAAD line itself get into a better configuration with its EMA's
2011-10-13 16:33:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and in so doing
2011-10-13 16:34:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we will bring the 19 day and 39 day EMA's back into a more positive mode from where a upside breakout can be done
2011-10-13 16:34:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: remember
2011-10-13 16:34:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that with the 10% component above its zero line
2011-10-13 16:35:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it only tells us that the NAAD line itself is moving higher faster than the intermediate term (5%) EMA can acknowledge at this point
2011-10-13 16:35:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with the 5% at the zero line
2011-10-13 16:35:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this means that the downside move of the 39 day EMA has now stalled
2011-10-13 16:35:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and is now in a position to either move higher still or reverse again
2011-10-13 16:35:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: however
2011-10-13 16:36:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the 10% (19 day EMA) as high as it is
2011-10-13 16:36:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's not likely that the 39 day is going to move lower again
2011-10-13 16:36:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which means that the NAAD line is not likely to decline in any important way
2011-10-13 16:36:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and more than likely
2011-10-13 16:36:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: will consolidate
2011-10-13 16:36:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: take a pause
2011-10-13 16:36:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: take a look around and see if there's still any takers
2011-10-13 16:36:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let me look at the chart for a moment
2011-10-13 16:37:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I can't copy and paste
2011-10-13 16:37:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if you bring up a cumulative chart of the NAAD line
2011-10-13 16:37:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and apply a 19 day and 39 day EMA to the chart
2011-10-13 16:38:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you will see how this indicator fits the pattern without any knowledge of exactly how this all works together
2011-10-13 16:38:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the 10% is above its zero line - the 19 day EMA is advancing
2011-10-13 16:38:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the 5% is at its zero line - so the 39 day EMA has now stalled to the downside
2011-10-13 16:38:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but to round out the picture
2011-10-13 16:39:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you will also see that the NAAD line closed right at the 39 day EMA today
2011-10-13 16:39:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so there's that pattern's resistance that suggests that we're likely to take a breather here
2011-10-13 16:39:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh...and one more important item to add to this
2011-10-13 16:40:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this same 39 day EMA is which the NAAD line halted its advance is RIGHT AT a declining tops line that one can draw connecting the July tops
2011-10-13 16:40:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this will provide extra resistance near term
2011-10-13 16:40:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now...
2011-10-13 16:41:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if this area of heavy resistance is violated to the upside in any way over the next couple of days
2011-10-13 16:41:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's going to take something highly explosive to do so given the rate of amplitude already generated over the last week
2011-10-13 16:41:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the odds say...rest time
2011-10-13 16:41:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: back and fill
2011-10-13 16:41:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: take a breather to regroup
2011-10-13 16:42:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and THEN we'll have our first hurdle to try to overcome
2011-10-13 16:42:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking still at the NAAD line
2011-10-13 16:42:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it has gained a plurality of nearly 6000 data points in just over a week
2011-10-13 16:43:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that is an amazing statistic...especially for the secondary issues
2011-10-13 16:43:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the pattern is in need of a rest here just to catch its brea(d)th
2011-10-13 16:43:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and back to the zero line test of the 5% component
2011-10-13 16:44:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: would allow this Trend to repel from its current highs
2011-10-13 16:44:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but bigger picture wise
2011-10-13 16:44:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the table is more than set
2011-10-13 16:45:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we should expect nothing more than a challenge of the 10/3-10/4 lows at maximum now
2011-10-13 16:45:14 [Message] darris -> Chat: fib_1618 Yeehaw, Whoopee, they pulled it out 7-5.  Still close to the end.  Whew!!!!!!  Go Tigers.
2011-10-13 16:45:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: lol
2011-10-13 16:45:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: tough game last night
2011-10-13 16:45:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we'll see what happens in Texas...they have a great team
2011-10-13 16:45:44 [Message] darris -> Chat: They have all been tough.  Texas has a good team
2011-10-13 16:45:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: snap
2011-10-13 16:45:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat:
2011-10-13 16:46:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: back to work
2011-10-13 16:46:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Lew...did you have a follow up?
2011-10-13 16:46:55 [Message] darris -> Chat: On the Zweig thrust. the NYSE composite needs two more 50% advancing days to get to 61% for the 10 day average, or two 75% days to get to 66.6% on the 10 day average
2011-10-13 16:47:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: well...that would be extraordinary if it happened given how far we've come so far
2011-10-13 16:47:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but as we have learned time after time over the last 10 years
2011-10-13 16:47:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: do not "fade" high liquidity markets
2011-10-13 16:48:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: have you guys seen the BPI's of late?
2011-10-13 16:48:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: whew!
2011-10-13 16:48:22 [Message] darris -> Chat: Smoking, for sure
2011-10-13 16:48:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I should probably make a special mid month post on them this weekend as we have buy signals all over the place there
2011-10-13 16:49:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the BPI indicator is very slow and methodical in its interpretation
2011-10-13 16:49:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: in fact
2011-10-13 16:49:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I was mentioning to Darris over the weekend
2011-10-13 16:50:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that the Semiconductor BPI was at its lowest levels since the 2009 lows
2011-10-13 16:50:13 [Message] darris -> Chat: Last night the Semi BPI jumped to 19.6% and the Gold to 16.7%.  Have not updated for tonight yet
2011-10-13 16:50:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so this weeks data should prove interesting
2011-10-13 16:50:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: thanks
2011-10-13 16:50:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: need to get back above +25 to break trend on the BPI...I think...let me check
2011-10-13 16:51:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: yes...about +25 - http://www.technicalwatch.com/bpi/semibpi.png
2011-10-13 16:52:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: while we're on the subject
2011-10-13 16:52:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: with the exception of the SEMI and PM BPI's, I only update the rest of the BPI's once a month
2011-10-13 16:53:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but one should make a point to take a quick look at them every week
2011-10-13 16:53:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as they hold a lot of information not found else where since they deal with PnF charting which is rarely used anymore
2011-10-13 16:53:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but is slow and sure
2011-10-13 16:54:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the SEMI and PM's, however, are posted every weekend
2011-10-13 16:54:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you can find them by going to the home page of Technical Watch and they are under the menu "Equities"
2011-10-13 16:55:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where you will also find the cumulative charts
2011-10-13 16:56:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we should thank Darris for his continuing effort in providing the SEMI and PM numbers each week...and has done so now for...what? the last 4-5 years after Chuck gave you the reigns?
2011-10-13 16:56:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: anyway...onward
2011-10-13 16:56:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: moving to the NDX breadth MCO
2011-10-13 16:56:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and one can only wonder what gives here?
2011-10-13 16:57:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as this MCO continues to come up with multiple small point change days in moving sideways for almost a week now
2011-10-13 16:57:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and although this may be a bit boring
2011-10-13 16:58:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as long as the buyers continue to outpace the sellers with this basket of stocks
2011-10-13 16:58:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX breadth MCSUM will continue to move higher
2011-10-13 16:58:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as a reminder again
2011-10-13 16:58:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the MCSUM zero line is the point in which the 19 day (10% Trend) and the 39 day (5% Trend) cross with each other
2011-10-13 16:58:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if the MCSUM is moving above the zero line...the 19 day is crossing above the 39 day
2011-10-13 16:59:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if the MCSUM is moving below the zero line...the 19 day is crossing below the 39 day EMA
2011-10-13 16:59:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's all it is to it
2011-10-13 16:59:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but even here what it tells us is much more given the way these two EMA's play tag with each other
2011-10-13 17:00:17 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: why, compared to price-does this MCO look lagging to me-the mcsum is smoking?
2011-10-13 17:00:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and makes the MCSUM, and its sister tool the MCO, very important technical tools to forecast the likely direction and amplitude of prices
2011-10-13 17:01:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: because as long as the MCO remains above the zero line
2011-10-13 17:01:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it allows the 19 day to move with the direction the NDX A/D line
2011-10-13 17:01:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this expands the distance between the 19 day and 39 day EMA's that are measuring the velocity of direction in this A/D itself
2011-10-13 17:02:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so...the trend remains higher
2011-10-13 17:02:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: since the MCO is above its zero line
2011-10-13 17:02:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the NDX A/D line has likely stalled...but is only inching higher still and not moving lower
2011-10-13 17:02:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's a matter of amplitude
2011-10-13 17:03:10 [Message] darris -> Chat: fib_1618 yes, it has been a long time since Chuck passed that over to me.  Sometimes he is seen on the boards as PIK (price is King).  tonight the semi increased to 22%, and Gold was the same.  I just found the original note from Chuck and it was Oct 2004
2011-10-13 17:04:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: wow...7 years
2011-10-13 17:04:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: looking up something
2011-10-13 17:04:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: one moment
2011-10-13 17:05:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I just pulled up the QQQ A/D line chart at ETF Investment Outlook
2011-10-13 17:05:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and guess what?
2011-10-13 17:05:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX A/D line is right up against its 1% Trend (200 day EMA)
2011-10-13 17:05:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this is the reason why the NDX breadth MCO is digesting here
2011-10-13 17:05:51 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: ah
2011-10-13 17:05:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: not enough to break above this line of longer term resistance as yet
2011-10-13 17:06:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but while here, this consolidation is allowing the faster EMA's to catch up to the line iteself
2011-10-13 17:06:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so that a concerted effort can be tried to break back above this same "trendline"
2011-10-13 17:06:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: make sense?
2011-10-13 17:06:54 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yes, thx
2011-10-13 17:06:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the bullish thing here
2011-10-13 17:07:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is that it didn't hit the line and then collapsed
2011-10-13 17:07:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's digesting
2011-10-13 17:07:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I just looked closer at the line
2011-10-13 17:07:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we are inching our way above the 200 day now
2011-10-13 17:07:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so maybe a snapback to the line is indicated over the short term
2011-10-13 17:08:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the importance here again is simple
2011-10-13 17:08:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if liquidity was not as ample as it is
2011-10-13 17:08:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: then this test back above the 200 day EMA would have a very tough time holding its ground
2011-10-13 17:08:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which would lead us to the conclusion that
2011-10-13 17:09:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as we mentioned so many times in the August and September period
2011-10-13 17:09:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that a lack of liquidity was NEVER the reason why the markets crashed during the August period
2011-10-13 17:09:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it was the fear of the unknown...or what we could not control
2011-10-13 17:09:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and in a trading sense
2011-10-13 17:10:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the European's could do more with our stock market in generated profits during this time than what they could do in their own backyards
2011-10-13 17:10:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: plus
2011-10-13 17:10:47 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if one had to liquidate a position
2011-10-13 17:10:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: US stocks would be the one to go to
2011-10-13 17:11:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: since they we're probably stuck with their own trading rules that didn't allow them to....ummm...capitalize on a situation
2011-10-13 17:11:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: no proof of this
2011-10-13 17:12:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but with my limited experience trading in England
2011-10-13 17:12:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: there are certain things that don't allow for quick liquidity when needed as we have here in the states
2011-10-13 17:12:50 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: true
2011-10-13 17:13:09 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so...back to the NDX breadth MCSUM
2011-10-13 17:13:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and since it's now above its zero line
2011-10-13 17:13:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we know that the 19 day has crossed above the 39 day EMA
2011-10-13 17:13:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but they still remain below the 200 day EMA
2011-10-13 17:13:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but with the A/D line back above the 200 day
2011-10-13 17:14:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the NDX A/D line is now on a "Get Set" buy signal
2011-10-13 17:14:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: sorry that I can't give you...wait...tiny url...one moment
2011-10-13 17:15:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: http://tinyurl.com/3npukuk
2011-10-13 17:15:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: there you go
2011-10-13 17:16:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this is a great site since they give you both breadth and volume MCO's and MCSUM's on many ETF funds
2011-10-13 17:16:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: definitely worth a bookmark
2011-10-13 17:16:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: now we get to the problem areas
2011-10-13 17:16:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the SPX breadth MCO has not move above its September highs as yet
2011-10-13 17:17:13 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the components remain on a cross over buy signal
2011-10-13 17:17:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the SPX breadth MCSUM crossed above its zero line just today
2011-10-13 17:17:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the important thing here
2011-10-13 17:17:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is that the broader market is showing better strength now than the SPX
2011-10-13 17:18:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and that's what's been keeping us from moving with both feet forward as to whether our low was behind us or not
2011-10-13 17:18:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the OEX breadth MCO is showing the same configuration here
2011-10-13 17:18:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but note that the OEX breadth MCSUM crossed above the +250 level today
2011-10-13 17:19:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and any follow through here tomorrow
2011-10-13 17:19:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: would then open the door for a challenge of both the +500 level and the July rally failure peak before the plunge
2011-10-13 17:19:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: same kind of thing with the Dow breadth MCO and the MCSUM
2011-10-13 17:20:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the MID breadth MCO moved above its previous double tops area by the smallest of margins yesterday
2011-10-13 17:21:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the MID breadth MCSUM moved nicely through the -250 level today
2011-10-13 17:21:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: up ahead
2011-10-13 17:21:25 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is both the zero line
2011-10-13 17:21:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the declining tops line from the February highs right in the same vicinity
2011-10-13 17:21:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: in fact...
2011-10-13 17:22:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: unless the market has a really bad day on Friday
2011-10-13 17:22:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we should close at or very close to this same declining line going into the weekend
2011-10-13 17:23:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this would then set us up for any continuing good news from overseas in which the market may use as its catapult to move above this same line early next week...or find resistance on any disappointment
2011-10-13 17:23:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the SML breadth MCO did move above its prior resistance points yesterday
2011-10-13 17:24:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and unlike the last couple of times in which this MCO moved to "overbought" extremes
2011-10-13 17:24:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this time we have the kind of texture that supports advancing price structures
2011-10-13 17:24:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: nothing of this straight line stuff
2011-10-13 17:25:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so this shows us that the bulls continue to gain overall support to their market opinion
2011-10-13 17:26:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this then makes it more and more difficult for the other side to put more than a day or so of push back before the higher percentage bulls continue to reclaim territory
2011-10-13 17:26:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if would be like a football team taking the ball from their 20 yard line
2011-10-13 17:26:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and then being stopped by the defense at the opposing teams 30 yard line
2011-10-13 17:27:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but would again regain control around their own 40 or 50 and push forward again
2011-10-13 17:27:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and the TM breadth MCO perceptively took out its August highs yesterday
2011-10-13 17:27:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this helped the TM breadth MCSUM to move above its September highs today
2011-10-13 17:28:01 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so....
2011-10-13 17:28:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the bulls have solid control of the short term
2011-10-13 17:28:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and have spotty control of the intermediate term
2011-10-13 17:28:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the momentum is building to their way of thinking
2011-10-13 17:28:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: over the next couple of days
2011-10-13 17:29:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we should be in a good position for a 1 or 2 day pause with the internals
2011-10-13 17:29:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and given the way we have moved higher here
2011-10-13 17:29:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this pause will probably not give us more than a 2-3% pullback in prices at the most
2011-10-13 17:29:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which, prior to July, would be a pretty huge move
2011-10-13 17:29:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but now its a walk in the park
2011-10-13 17:29:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: in other areas
2011-10-13 17:30:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the VIX is now at a reading of 30
2011-10-13 17:30:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which is at the lower level of the last 2 months
2011-10-13 17:30:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: a break below this level
2011-10-13 17:31:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: will likely coincide with any upside breakout of all price consolidations we've been working with for this same amount of time
2011-10-13 17:31:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if you apply a 89 day time period to the Bollinger Band for the VIX
2011-10-13 17:32:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you will also see that this same 30 level is just above this intermediate term time period average
2011-10-13 17:32:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: where a move below the line would be a bullish event for this same time period (that of months)
2011-10-13 17:32:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and our remaining above this level keeps things with the bears
2011-10-13 17:33:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so this is something to watch for over the next couple of days IF we see a close above the 1225 area on the SPX (for example)
2011-10-13 17:33:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this will be your confirmation of a turn in sentiment
2011-10-13 17:33:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: interestingly enough
2011-10-13 17:34:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the VXO has the very same support right now
2011-10-13 17:34:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and also remember something very important
2011-10-13 17:35:05 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if the volatility index' break below their support levels (30)
2011-10-13 17:35:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: volatility will also start to ease off as well
2011-10-13 17:36:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so do expect that the higher we go over the short term we'll continue to see a decrease in the daily percentage move in the major indices
2011-10-13 17:36:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this, of course, should change the way you trade an open position
2011-10-13 17:36:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: for example
2011-10-13 17:36:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: just because price doesn't go up 3% in one day doesn't mean that they rally doesn't have legs to continue
2011-10-13 17:36:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: again...
2011-10-13 17:37:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's human nature to panic quickly
2011-10-13 17:37:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but we tend to be quite skeptical when prices start to rise
2011-10-13 17:37:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and so the saying "the wall of worry"
2011-10-13 17:37:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hey...
2011-10-13 17:38:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: have you noticed that we're already starting to get people pointing to the low daily volume as a barometer that the current advance is somehow questionable?
2011-10-13 17:39:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if we look at the daily plurality on a trending basis
2011-10-13 17:39:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: as we saw on Tuesday with the volume McClellan's
2011-10-13 17:39:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: everything is running quite nicely here
2011-10-13 17:39:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: nice sagway...let's take a quick peak
2011-10-13 17:40:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and so far
2011-10-13 17:40:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the volume MCO's have yet to take out their late August highs as yet
2011-10-13 17:40:59 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this will be all important to do so as it's something like this that will be needed to not only move above the trading range...but STAY there and then build on that
2011-10-13 17:41:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Lew...check the NDX volume MCO
2011-10-13 17:41:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: see how it continues to lead breadth to the upside?
2011-10-13 17:41:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: more importantly
2011-10-13 17:42:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: look at the NDX volume MCSUM
2011-10-13 17:42:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: bottom above a bottom
2011-10-13 17:42:37 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: yep
2011-10-13 17:42:38 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we have now moved above our overhead resistance of both the zero line and the snapback highs of July
2011-10-13 17:42:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that led us to be watchful of something negative on the horizon (little did we know)
2011-10-13 17:43:22 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: check the angle of ascent too
2011-10-13 17:43:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: nice and powerful
2011-10-13 17:43:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so you have intermediate term (MCSUM) bull divergence
2011-10-13 17:44:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and now we have moved above formidable resistance
2011-10-13 17:44:11 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: it was important to clear that area, I feel
2011-10-13 17:44:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we have
2011-10-13 17:44:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the downside here is going to be minimal
2011-10-13 17:44:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: even if we have a snapback to the zero line IF we find resistance at the +250 level
2011-10-13 17:44:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: structure...structure...structure
2011-10-13 17:45:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: oh...
2011-10-13 17:45:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: one more thing
2011-10-13 17:45:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: take a ruler to the monitor
2011-10-13 17:46:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and that little hesitation recently below the zero line was a prelude to our breaking above the declining tops line going back to the last November's +1500 extremes
2011-10-13 17:46:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this is a significant event
2011-10-13 17:47:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and pretty much forecasts a direct challenge of the summer highs without too much of a problem now
2011-10-13 17:47:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and if we can get above the May MCSUM highs
2011-10-13 17:47:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we will be able to move above the triple top price resistance seen on the chart
2011-10-13 17:48:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and another good example
2011-10-13 17:48:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: of how once the MCSUM moves to an extreme and starts in the opposite direction
2011-10-13 17:48:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this doesn't mean that prices are finished moving in this same direction
2011-10-13 17:49:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the beauty of oscillators
2011-10-13 17:49:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is that this flag (extreme) and divergent momentum idea is pretty consistent through out technical analysis
2011-10-13 17:50:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so when traders get excited that an oscillator has topped and moving in the opposite direction
2011-10-13 17:51:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's only part of the physics that we see before prices have burned off enough energy so that they can actually move in the opposite direction
2011-10-13 17:51:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: simple in concept
2011-10-13 17:51:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but sometimes our emotion and/or bias gets in the way of our good judgement
2011-10-13 17:52:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: note that the Dow volume MCO did move to new highs here
2011-10-13 17:52:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and also note that this is all taking place as the Dow volume MCSUM about to cross its zero line
2011-10-13 17:52:23 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: while at the same time
2011-10-13 17:52:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the price pattern is just under its overhead resistance point
2011-10-13 17:52:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so if the energy continues to come in
2011-10-13 17:53:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: prices will have no choice but to rise above this same resistance
2011-10-13 17:53:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and this is one of the reasons why I made the Intraweek post
2011-10-13 17:53:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: look at all the horizontal resistance on the Dow volume MCSUM
2011-10-13 17:54:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so a move above the zero line this time around will probably be part of something important that will change the rules of play
2011-10-13 17:54:44 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the MID volume MCO moved perceptively higher yesterday
2011-10-13 17:54:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so the MID caps are seeing good money flow here
2011-10-13 17:55:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we can again see this with the large separation of the MCSUM postings
2011-10-13 17:55:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: same with the SML
2011-10-13 17:55:58 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we're getting proof now that money is moving into the market on a more broadly based basis
2011-10-13 17:56:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we note that the TM volume MCSUM is just below its zero line
2011-10-13 17:56:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we pretty much have balance now between buyers and sellers on an intermediate term basis
2011-10-13 17:56:52 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: who will take control?
2011-10-13 17:56:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: what are the odds?
2011-10-13 17:57:10 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: let's see what the rest of the data suggest
2011-10-13 17:57:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: CVI's suggested a price top yesterday
2011-10-13 17:57:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so we got that today
2011-10-13 17:57:53 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: STVO's are now highly "overbought"
2011-10-13 17:58:18 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but if this is part of a larger launch here, they will stay up in this nosebleed area until the VTO's catchup
2011-10-13 17:58:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and that seems to be sometime next week at this point
2011-10-13 17:58:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: amazing
2011-10-13 17:58:41 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: NYSE TRIN at 1.20
2011-10-13 17:58:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Open 10 at .96
2011-10-13 17:59:07 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: NASDAQ TRIN at .47
2011-10-13 17:59:14 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Open 10 at .79
2011-10-13 17:59:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: "overbought"
2011-10-13 17:59:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: TM TRIN at
2011-10-13 17:59:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: .61
2011-10-13 17:59:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: Open 10 at .84
2011-10-13 17:59:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so...
2011-10-13 18:00:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the market has rallied as far as it can go and a brief rest today to see how things are doing
2011-10-13 18:00:20 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: what will be informative technically
2011-10-13 18:00:35 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is how the Open 10's work off any "overbought" readings on the Open 10
2011-10-13 18:00:51 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: will we have to drive prices lower to produce selling?
2011-10-13 18:01:24 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or will prior conditioning of the trading range make traders sell in anticipation of another move toward the lower end of this same range?
2011-10-13 18:01:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: hard decline or correct on the fly??
2011-10-13 18:01:39 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: if we can correct on the fly now
2011-10-13 18:01:57 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: meaning that the SPX can stay in around the 1200 level while relieving the upside pressure
2011-10-13 18:02:15 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: then this would increase the odds that a price breakout to the upside would be imminent
2011-10-13 18:02:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: a move below 1200, however, would suggest that there are still too much indecision going on here
2011-10-13 18:02:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and with the current internals
2011-10-13 18:03:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: only a partial retracement will be needed this time around to provide the kind of bottom that can propel us above this same overhead resistance
2011-10-13 18:03:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: sort of like pulling back on a slingshot
2011-10-13 18:03:46 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the further back you pull, the more distance you reach once released
2011-10-13 18:03:48 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: unless...
2011-10-13 18:04:04 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you don't know what you're doing and hit yourself in the face (ouch)
2011-10-13 18:04:11 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: we'll see how it goes
2011-10-13 18:04:17 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but the important thing here
2011-10-13 18:04:36 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is that it's now time to do our homework in looking for patterns that have a bullish structure to them
2011-10-13 18:04:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: to look for sectors that money is moving into here and now
2011-10-13 18:05:12 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and then set up a plan on when to move into these issues
2011-10-13 18:05:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: without the plan
2011-10-13 18:05:19 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you have no criteria
2011-10-13 18:05:27 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and you might as well be a fundamentalist
2011-10-13 18:05:40 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: anything else...questions??
2011-10-13 18:05:57 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: MON had a VERY pretty move off the bottom
2011-10-13 18:06:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you ain't kidding
2011-10-13 18:06:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: wow
2011-10-13 18:06:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: technicals look great too
2011-10-13 18:06:49 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: high volume
2011-10-13 18:06:50 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: momentum
2011-10-13 18:06:52 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: just been looking for ponys, LOL
2011-10-13 18:06:54 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: EMA's
2011-10-13 18:07:03 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good job...thanks for sharing!!
2011-10-13 18:07:11 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: no prob!
2011-10-13 18:07:31 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: the other thing about Monsanto
2011-10-13 18:07:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: is that their business relies heavily on oil
2011-10-13 18:07:55 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: so if their costs are moving lower
2011-10-13 18:08:08 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that would probably mean a better spread in profitability
2011-10-13 18:08:16 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: which also tells us
2011-10-13 18:08:30 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that oil is not likely to do too much to the upside short term
2011-10-13 18:08:33 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: unless
2011-10-13 18:08:43 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: this has to do with something in the clarity department related to the EU
2011-10-13 18:08:46 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: my thought as well
2011-10-13 18:08:56 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: or China
2011-10-13 18:09:02 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: that's the problem with fundamentals
2011-10-13 18:09:21 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you never really know where to look to back a reason why prices move as they do
2011-10-13 18:09:26 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: but as a technician
2011-10-13 18:09:28 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you really don't care about this kind of stuff
2011-10-13 18:09:34 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: you just follow the money
2011-10-13 18:10:00 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: it's already done research for you otherwise it wouldn't value a stock one way or the other
2011-10-13 18:10:29 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: OK...if there's nothing else
2011-10-13 18:10:32 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: I'm going to take off
2011-10-13 18:10:34 [Message] thespookyone -> Chat: thx much
2011-10-13 18:10:37 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: everyone have a great weekend
2011-10-13 18:10:42 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: and we'll chat again next Tuesday
2011-10-13 18:10:45 [Message] fib_1618 -> Chat: good night
2011-10-13 18:10:50 [Message] EricD -> Chat: Thanks Terrific

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