http://forums.technicalwatch.com - Hiker's Habitat 60 Fri, 10 Sep 2010 03:12:00 GMT http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4804990 continued from - <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4598994" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4598994</a><br><br>July 16 chart updates for the NYSE Composite Index (NYA):<br><br>Chart #1 - NYA daily closes with selected ema's and two sma's<br><br>* the 20-day simple moving average now resides slightly below the 320-day simple<br>&nbsp;&nbsp; moving average<br><br>* NYA <span style="font-weight: bold;">$6,700</span> major price horizontal has contained the current decline, so far, and<br>&nbsp;&nbsp; only by a slight margin on Friday<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4804990 Sat, 17 Jul 2010 16:08:54 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4804706 1. the June and July lows for SPX and NYA generally have similar timing as the June and early July lows for BP and GS (GS achieved its 52-wk low)<br><br>2. BP and GS both experienced <span style="font-weight: bold;">news-related</span> buying panics late this week, and both news events which potentially climaxed with the news events this week have been much anticipated:<br><br> BP - anticipation of the well shut-in / relief well completion<br><br> GS - anticipation of the settlement with the SEC<br><br>3. question - now that these BP and GS much anticipated news events are nearing their potential final digestion phase and pricing phase ...how will the overall market react?<br><br>some charts follow in this thread: scroll down to see each chart in separate posts<br><br>chart 1 - BP 30-minute chart * note Thursday's late-day volume stick<br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4804706 Sat, 17 Jul 2010 09:38:58 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4786656 July 2 chart update<br><br>* using this weekly chart setup, a 3% decline below the 70week sma defines<br>one strategy for determining the bullish uptrend is confirmed as "broken" (31 SPX points lower = 3% below the current 70wk simple moving average)<br><br>* check out copper price action...can SPX achieve a further decline while copper futures remain above $275 minor horizontal support?<br><br>* FXI now resides near the lower horizontal support shown on this chart<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4786656 Sun, 04 Jul 2010 12:26:47 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4781530 June 29<br><br>SPX daily closes with two ema's:<br><br>* the horizontal reference values (today's values) for the two daily ema's are color coded with the same color as each SPX daily ema<br><br>* be vigilant whether SPX $1036.19 holds for future daily closes<br>&nbsp;<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4781530 Wed, 30 Jun 2010 10:08:27 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4767665 continued from -<br><br><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482</a><br><br>June 18<br><br><span id="post_message_40510858">chart showing weekly closes for the SPX Equal Weighted Index -<br><br>* bulls want to see future pullbacks hold at the recently tested support near the<br>&nbsp; &nbsp;</span><span id="post_message_40510858"><span style="font-weight: bold;"> $1597.16</span></span><span id="post_message_40510858"> level shown by the upper <span style="font-weight: bold; color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">red</span> horizontal price line</span><br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4767665 Sat, 19 Jun 2010 15:01:26 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4749032 <u><b>NYSE Up Volume to Total Volume ratio</b></u>:<br><br>June 4, 2010 data set update with my version of what stockchart.com's history shows for this data series:<br><br><u><b>history of prior extreme lows since 1999:</b></u><br> &nbsp;(chart has been attached)<br><br>ratio values for the extreme low dates:<br><br>.0083 - June 4, 2010 - * this represents the most extreme <b>relative absence</b> of NYSE Up Volume <u><b>since 1999</b></u>, if not longer<br> &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<div id=":17m" class="ii gt"><wbr>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; (using Stockcharts.com as the data source)<br><br>.014&nbsp;&nbsp; - May 20, 2010<br><br>.027&nbsp;&nbsp; - Feb 4, 2010<br>------------------------------<wbr>-----<br>.034&nbsp;&nbsp; - November,&nbsp; 2009<br><br>.035&nbsp;&nbsp; - April, 2009<br> <br>.019&nbsp;&nbsp; - March, 2009<br><br>.029&nbsp; -&nbsp; February, 2009<br><br>.033 -&nbsp;&nbsp; January, 2009<br>------------------------------<wbr>-------<br>.0123 -&nbsp;&nbsp; December, 2008<br>------------------------------<wbr>-------<br>.0102 - February 27, 2007<br> <br>Links to prior research for this data series can be found here -<br><br><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4528810&amp;pid=38695455#post38695455" target="_blank"><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4528810&amp;pid=38695455#post38695455" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4528810&amp;pid=38695455#post38695455</a></a></div> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4749032 Sat, 05 Jun 2010 15:40:33 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4748977 continued from - <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482</a><br><br>June 4 update<br><br>* weekly RSI (34) has declined below the 50 level for the first time since 2009, and this "event" below the 50 level has marked confirmed bearish turns in prior years<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4748977 Sat, 05 Jun 2010 14:43:11 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482 June 2, 2010<br><br>SPX $1063.97 weekly close low from 2004 is now of interest since the price action<br>continues to remain above this level for <span style="font-weight: bold;">weekly closes</span>:<br><br>* notice the weekly RSI-34 has yet to decline below the 50 level since the move<br>&nbsp;&nbsp; above the 50 level in 2009<br><br>* <span style="font-weight: bold;">confirmation</span> of bullish resolution likely depends on a recapture of the SPX<br>&nbsp;&nbsp; $1113 to $1121 levels by future weekly closes<br><br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4745482 Thur, 03 Jun 2010 06:38:32 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4711625 <br><b>SPX, RUT, UUP - <u>percentage change </u>since the October 2 daily close</b><br><br>May 7 closing-basis chart update:<br><br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4711625 Mon, 10 May 2010 21:19:02 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4709674 May 7<br><br><b>1624 </b>is the current value for the <b>20-day moving average</b> of the daily number of NYSE declining issues (out of approx. +3,800 total issues on the NYSE) ... bulls want this average number to decrease, NOT increase in the future relative to the current 1624 average value.<br><br>May 7 - plot of the 20-day sma for the number of NYSE declining issues .... in relationship to NYSE maintaining support at the $7439 major price horizontal,<br><b>which did "fail" to hold as support last week </b>(see the April 30th chart update not shown below).<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4709674 Sun, 09 May 2010 15:07:56 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4709542 continued from the March 19, 2010, update -<br><br><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4635656" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4635656</a><br><br>continued from the March 17, 2010, update -<br><br><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4634754" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4634754</a><br><br><b>May 7 - </b>NYSI and NYMO daily chart update with cumulative NYAD by Dave at this link - <a target="_blank" href="http://www.technicalwatch.com/cum10/cum050710.htm" rel="nofollow"><a href="http://www.technicalwatch.com/cum10/cum050710.htm" target="_blank">http://www.technicalwatch.com/cum10/cum050710.htm</a></a><br><b><br>May 7 -</b> breadth chart updates by Dave for the NYSE components and for the precious metals sector -<b> <a target="_blank" href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4708612" rel="nofollow"><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4708612" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4708612</a></a><br><br>May 7th chart update for the daily NYSE Advance-Decline (NYAD):<br><br>* </b>the 8-day moving average for the daily NYAD achieved the general<br>level reached by recent prior extreme lows, because we just now experienced<br><span style="font-weight: bold;">four consecutive daily postings</span> for the daily NYAD which were negative (residing below the red zero line in the chart below)<br><br>* bulls need price and daily NYSE breadth as measured by the daily NYAD to post some positive readings in the coming week, in order to be confident that a sustainable price advance is possible<br><br>* NYSE Composite Index (NYA) $7083 serves as one dividing horizontal now between the bullish and the continued bearish price action.<br><br>* NYA200R must hold the 60% level in order for a future bullish resolution to be possible - now resides at 61.94%<br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4709542 Sun, 09 May 2010 13:22:17 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4696966 April 29 -<br><br> <b><u>NYSE new highs less new lows data (NYHL) </u>- chart comparison vs. prior levels of importance</b><br><br>NYSE daily closes are displayed in the upper portion of this chart<br><br>* if the NYSE <b>$7,439</b> major horizontal level fails to hold during future pullbacks, be alert for a confirmation<br>from the NYHL to NYTV ratio by a move to <u><b>near or below the zero line </b></u>(NYTV = NYSE total volume)<br> <br>* note the cumulative NYHL now resides near a level that marked the 2008 confirmation of the sustained decline by both the cumulative NYHL and by the NYSE price action<br><br><br><font color="#888888"><br></font> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4696966 Fri, 30 Apr 2010 14:37:10 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4691494 continued from -<br><br><a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4493670" target="_blank">http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4493670</a><br><br>April 26th chart update for <b>SPX daily closes with four ema's:</b><br><br>* bulls want to see OEX generally remain above the $550 level<br><br>* be alert what direction the SPX:VXO ratio chooses from here<br><br>* the bullish cross of the three faster moving averages above the 13-day ema<br>has persisted now for 47 consecutive trading days ... and this 13-day ema has<br>advanced 63 SPX points since moving above the $1138.60 January high for the 13-day ema<br><br><br><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4691494 Tue, 27 Apr 2010 00:01:39 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4681884 April 19<br><br>* the future direction chosen by the SPX:VXO ratio will be important<br><br>* DeMark calculations for the pivot values are shown on the chart<br>&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp; (April 19th closing-basis):<p style="background-color: rgb(0, 102, 0);">bullish pivot - $120.60</p><p style="background-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">bearish pivot - $119.14</p><br> <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4681884 Tue, 20 Apr 2010 13:15:32 GMT hiker http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4681877 April 19<br><br>(GS reports earnings on April 20th a.m. before the market open)<br><br>GS daily -<br><br>* $163.53 to $166 is one bull/bear horizontal zone...bulls want to see a sustained move back above this price zone by daily and weekly closes<br><br>* see the 3,13,1 macd on this chart - bulls want to see the <b style="color: rgb(255, 0, 0);">-6 to -5 levels</b> recaptured at the daily closes for improving the odds for a future bullish resolution <p>Forum: <a href="http://forums.technicalwatch.com/?forum=30657">Hiker's Habitat</a> http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=4681877 Tue, 20 Apr 2010 13:12:18 GMT hiker